eToro Projection

App Guide

Learn how to use the Stock Projection Tool to estimate future returns on your investments.

What is this tool?

The Stock Projection Tool lets you pick any stock trading on eToro and project its potential future value over a custom time horizon. You provide assumptions about earnings growth and valuation, and the tool calculates how your investment could grow — along with an estimated annual return (CAGR).

Projection Inputs

Starting EPSEarnings Per Share — the company's net profit divided by its share count. This is pre-filled from financial data when available. A higher EPS means more earnings per share today.
Future P/EThe Price-to-Earnings ratio you expect the stock to trade at in the future. A lower P/E indicates a cheaper valuation; a higher P/E reflects growth expectations. Compare to the current P/E shown in the metrics panel.
Growth Rate (%)Your assumed annual EPS growth rate over the projection period. For reference, large-cap companies typically grow earnings at 5–15% per year; high-growth companies may exceed 20%. To get an idea of a stock's historical growth, check the metrics panel — it shows multi-year EPS growth rates for the selected instrument.

Time Horizon Slider

Drag the slider to set how many years into the future you want to project: 1, 2, 3, 5, 7, or 10 years. Longer horizons amplify the effect of the growth rate — both positively and negatively.

💡 Tip: Try comparing a 3-year and a 10-year horizon with the same growth rate to see how compounding accelerates returns over time.

Calculated Metrics

Projected EPSStarting EPS compounded at the Growth Rate for the selected number of years. Formula: Starting EPS × (1 + Growth Rate)^Years.
Projected PriceEstimated future stock price. Formula: Projected EPS × Future P/E. This is the target price the tool uses to calculate your return.
Annual Return (CAGR)Compound Annual Growth Rate — the annualised return from today's price to the projected price. A CAGR above your benchmark (e.g. 10% for S&P 500) suggests the stock may outperform.
Total Return (%)The overall percentage gain from the current price to the projected price over the full time horizon.

How Growth Rate Impacts Results

The growth rate has an exponential effect on projections — small changes create large differences over time.

Growth RateEPS doubles in10-yr multiplier
5%~14 years1.63×
10%~7 years2.59×
15%~5 years4.05×
20%~4 years6.19×

AI Recommendations

Once fundamentals finish loading for a stock, an AI Recommendations panel appears below the inputs. It analyses the available data and suggests a starting point for both Future P/E and EPS Growth Rate.

Future P/E suggestionThe AI considers the stock's historical P/E range, sector/industry norms, growth quality, and the current interest-rate environment. It returns a low / base / high range — e.g. 18 / 22 / 28. The base case is the middle-ground estimate; low and high bracket a plausible range. Factors considered:
  • Historical P/E range — where the stock has traded in the past (TTM P/E, forward P/E from fundamentals)
  • Sector/industry norms — what P/E multiples are typical for that type of business
  • Growth quality — faster-growing or higher-margin companies command premium multiples
  • Current macro context — interest rate environment affects fair multiples
EPS Growth suggestionThe AI looks at historical EPS CAGR figures (2Y, 3Y, 5Y) from the metrics panel, the direction of revenue and margin trends, any available analyst forward estimates, and sector growth norms. It returns a low / base / high range — e.g. 8% / 12% / 18%. Factors considered:
  • Recent growth trend — is growth accelerating, decelerating, or stable?
  • Analyst consensus — if forward EPS estimates are available in the fundamentals
  • Revenue and margin trajectory — top-line growth + expanding/compressing margins = EPS direction
  • Sector growth norms — mature businesses grow slower than high-growth ones
Applying suggestionsUse the "Apply" buttons next to each metric to copy the base-case value into the projection inputs, or "Apply both" to fill in both at once. You can still edit the values manually afterwards.
Quality caveatRecommendation quality depends on how much data is available. For well-covered stocks (e.g. Apple, NVIDIA) the ranges are grounded in historical figures. For less-covered stocks the AI falls back to general knowledge, so treat those suggestions with more caution.

⚠️ Projections are estimates based on your inputs and are not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.